What were you wrong about for a long time? How did you realize you were wrong?
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearVA
    vala
    1w ago 100%

    If you mean the Monty Hall paradox, this is how I've recently been able to understand it.

    You start with a 1/3rd chance of being right. That's a 2/3rds chance you are wrong. Your first pick is likely wrong.

    The host now must open a losing door. Since you likely already picked a losing door, the host likely only has one option for which door to reveal.

    So since chances are best that you first picked a wrong door, then the host picked the other wrong door. Which means the one that hasn't been picked by anyone yet is likely the winning door.

    Edit: Monte Carlo paradox is a thing. My bad.

    The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy, occurs when an individual erroneously believes that a certain random event is less likely or more likely to happen based on the outcome of a previous event or series of events.

    For this one I like the example: "The surgery fails 9/10 times. The last 9 patients have died. Does that mean you in the clear?"

    4
  • TAS Explained: Super Mario Bros. 3 in 0.2 seconds
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearVA
    vala
    1w ago 100%

    The whole point is that it's a TAS. This is a whole category of speed running. It would be cheating to submit a TAS as an actual speed run but submitting a TAS as a TAS is clearly not cheating.

    4
  • No ads here!
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearVA
    vala
    1w ago 100%

    It would be pretty trivial for YouTube to change the hashes at random. Might require a clever caching workaround on their end but it's totally possible to just flip a few bits before serving it.

    1
  • Some Floridians choose to stay despite warnings of life risk: ‘We have faith in the Lord’
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearVA
    vala
    1w ago 100%

    I wasn't doing anything. You are confusing me with another person.

    For the record I'm probably what most would consider "a leftist". I'm absolutely not not a conservative, but also absolutely not a liberal.

    1
  • Some Floridians choose to stay despite warnings of life risk: ‘We have faith in the Lord’
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearVA
    vala
    2w ago 50%

    Just because someone is talking poorly about liberals doesn't make them a conservative.

    There is a whole other side of politics to the left of liberal. For example, socialists, communists anarchists etc.

    Thinking liberal="the left" is American propaganda. Liberals are basically centrists.

    0
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearPO
    Jump
    Student loan forgiveness
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearVA
    vala
    2w ago 62%

    Having educated and debt free youth is the only way the US is going to remain relevant in the world economy.

    "Crabs in a bucket" arguments like yours really just illustrate how the US has got to the point we are at right now.

    2
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearPO
    Jump
    Student loan forgiveness
    "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearPO
    Jump
    Student loan forgiveness
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearVA
    vala
    2w ago 83%

    Should we stop trying to cure cancer because it would be unfair to all the people who already died?

    8
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearPO
    Jump
    Pronouns bad!

    Remote play is already semi-broken on stable. In the sense that the video renders super dark unless you disable hardware decoding. https://github.com/ValveSoftware/SteamOS/issues/1246 The beta and preview channels are even worse. The remote play session will just never load at all. https://steamcommunity.com/app/1675200/discussions/1/3757725080156008363/?l=czech https://github.com/ValveSoftware/steam-for-linux/issues/10461 It seems like this is slipping through the cracks. I'm making this post to raise some awareness on the issue. Not sure what we can really do though. Edit: God damn it valve.

    57
    22
    store.steampowered.com

    Steam version v0.1.4.1 has been released. Patch Notes: === ▼Major Fixes ・Fixed an issue where the game would always crash and save data would be corrupted when the total number of Pals captured by the guild reached approximately 7000. ・In the previous patch, save data that had already been in this state (for servers, the server's world data) remained in a broken state that made it impossible to load, but after applying this patch it will be resolved and will load properly. ・Fixed an issue where some weapons equipped by other players would disappear when a player used a grenade in multiplayer. ・Fixed an issue where, although the displayed capture probability increased when the capture power was strengthened with Lifmunk Effigies, the capture probability did not actually increase at all due to an internal processing bug. ▼Base related ・Fixed an issue where if a Pal that was manually assigned to a breeding farm went to sleep, it would not wake up forever. ・Fixed an issue where no wood would drop when Pal at the base felled a tree. ▼Others ・Implemented countermeasures against some cheats and exploits. === We will continue development placing top priority on fixing major problems and issues. Thank you for your continued support of Palworld.

    65
    18

    What level should you be at (roughly) to take on each boss? 1 - Zoe and Grizzbolt - 30,550 HP 2 - Lily and Lyleen - 69,375 HP 3 - Axel and Orserk - 130,700 HP 4 - Marcus and Faleris - 146,975 HP 5 - Victor and Shadowbeak - 200,750 HP

    9
    7
    51
    25